Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -3 (49-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarron Cumberland * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nysier Brooks * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Keith Williams * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Justin Jenifer * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tre Scott * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cane Broome | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Rashawn Fredericks | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Trevor Moore | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mamoudou Diarra | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eliel Nsoseme | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Logan Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmal McMurray * | 38 | 10-22 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 7 | - |
| Feron Hunt * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Ethan Chargois * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Isiaha Mike * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jimmy Whitt * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nat Dixon | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| CJ White | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jahmar Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter