Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.4% | 15.6% | -9.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis Jr. * | 39 | 8-13 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Armoni Brooks * | 38 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| G. Robinson Jr. * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| F. White Jr. * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Breaon Brady * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Harris | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nate Hinton | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brison Gresham | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Alley Jr. | 13 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dejon Jarreau | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Taylor * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Aubrey Dawkins * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Terrell Allen * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Collin Smith * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Chad Brown | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Dayon Griffin | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Frank Bertz | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ceasar DeJesus | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter