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2019-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 76.7% 23.3% -
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% -
Margin 84.4% 15.6% -9.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% -
Efficiency 90.2% 9.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Log Adjusted 78.4% 21.6% -

Actual: UCF Knights -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Davis Jr. * 39 8-13 1-6 9-12 3 5 1 0 4 26 18 -
A. Brooks * 38 3-10 3-10 5-6 7 0 0 0 0 14 11 -
G. Robinson Jr. * 36 6-12 0-3 0-2 5 7 1 0 1 12 12 -
F. White Jr. * 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Brady * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Harris Jr. 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 4 6 -
N. Hinton 17 2-6 0-1 2-4 6 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
B. Gresham 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 1 2 6 -
C. Alley Jr. 13 3-7 3-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 9 7 -
D. Jarreau 6 0-1 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 3 4 3 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Taylor * 36 6-12 2-7 7-9 2 7 1 0 0 21 19 -
A. Dawkins * 33 5-15 3-7 0-2 5 0 0 2 2 13 3 -
T. Allen * 31 2-6 0-2 1-1 5 3 2 0 4 5 5 -
T. Fall * 19 5-6 0-0 3-7 6 0 0 0 2 13 11 -
C. Smith * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
C. Brown 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 2 0 5 10 -
D. Griffin 19 1-3 1-3 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
F. Bertz 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. DeJesus 12 0-3 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -

* = starter