Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.9% | 15.1% | -9.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Brooks * | 32 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| C. Davis Jr. * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| G. Robinson Jr. * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| F. White Jr. * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Breaon Brady * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brison Gresham | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dejon Jarreau | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nate Hinton | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Alley Jr. | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Whitt * | 39 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Isiaha Mike * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Chargois * | 34 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jahmal McMurray * | 32 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -3 | - |
| Jarrey Foster * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nat Dixon | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Feron Hunt | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| CJ White | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| William Douglas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter