Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +18 (77-59). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Polley * | 38 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Christian Vital * | 31 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Sidney Wilson * | 23 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tarin Smith * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Josh Carlton * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Adams | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Alterique Gilbert | 23 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Eric Cobb | 19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Whaley | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiaha Mike * | 36 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jimmy Whitt Jr. * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jahmal McMurray * | 33 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Ethan Chargois * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Feron Hunt * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nat Dixon | 30 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Will Douglas | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| CJ White | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jahmar Young Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter