Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +9 (95-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Hardy | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Deshaun Wade | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jayden Gardner * | 32 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Addison Hill * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justice Obasohan * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Davis | 30 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Seth LeDay | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Isaac Fleming | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Foster | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Dimitrije Spasojevic | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Toews * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jeantal Cylla * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Devontae Cacok * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jay Estime' * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ty Gadsden * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Shawn O'Connell | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jaylen Fornes | 17 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| T. Taylor II | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Sims | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Elmore | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter