Model Predictions
| Model | Stanford Cardinal | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -13 (59-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Davis * | 39 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 4 | - |
| O. da Silva * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Sharma * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Delaire | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Sheffield II | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Wills | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Stanback | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Toews * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jeantal Cylla * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Taylor II * | 25 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Jaylen Fornes * | 23 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Devontae Cacok * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jay Estime' | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shawn O'Connell | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jaylen Sims | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ty Gadsden | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Matt Elmore | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacque Brown | 6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter