Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +25 (86-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Butler * | 37 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Devonte Bandoo * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Mark Vital * | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Mario Kegler * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Freddie Gillespie * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matthew Mayer | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Flo Thamba | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Obim Okeke | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Darius Allen | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davide Moretti * | 33 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Matt Mooney * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Culver * | 28 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Tariq Owens * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Norense Odiase * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandone Francis | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kyler Edwards | 15 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Deshawn Corprew | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Malik Ondigo | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Sorrells | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Parker Hicks | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Avery Benson | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Josh Mballa | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter