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2018-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% -
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% -
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.4 (12.4 off)

Actual: Auburn Tigers +5 (93-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Morant * 39 7-14 1-6 10-11 8 7 1 1 5 25 23 -
S. Buchanan * 36 8-14 4-7 1-2 4 4 0 0 6 21 9 -
T. Brown * 33 6-12 5-7 2-3 10 3 3 0 3 19 20 -
B. Sanchious * 26 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 -
M. Davis * 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Cowart 22 5-7 0-0 3-4 4 0 4 0 1 13 13 -
KJ Williams 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. Whitley 12 1-4 1-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dunbar 16 1-5 1-4 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 4 3 -
J. Harper * 34 4-11 2-6 2-4 2 10 0 0 2 12 11 -
B. Brown * 33 4-10 3-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 11 1 -
C. Okeke * 31 7-14 3-8 0-2 5 2 5 2 4 17 13 -
A. Wiley * 26 7-9 0-1 3-5 10 0 0 0 0 17 18 -
S. Doughty * 24 6-7 2-3 6-6 4 2 0 0 0 20 19 -
J. McCormick 13 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 2 3 0 3 5 3 -
A. McLemore 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 5 5 -
H. Spencer 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
D. Purifoy 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter