Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +10 (82-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Policelli | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Landers * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 36 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 31 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Dwayne Cohill | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 35 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Samir Doughty * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 34 | 10-18 | 6-13 | 8-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 17 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Austin Wiley | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J'Von McCormick | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter