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2018-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 21.6% 78.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.3% 90.7% -
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +10 (82-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Policelli 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Landers * 36 3-7 0-1 2-2 11 3 0 0 2 8 13 -
J. Crutcher * 36 3-12 3-7 2-2 6 5 2 0 7 11 5 -
R. Mikesell * 32 6-12 3-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 4 15 8 -
J. Cunningham * 31 6-8 1-1 1-1 5 3 1 0 4 14 11 -
J. Davis * 29 3-8 2-6 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 9 0 -
D. Cohill 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 5 2 -
O. Toppin 16 4-4 1-1 1-3 3 0 0 2 1 10 10 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Okeke 30 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 3 2 1 2 5 -
M. Dunbar 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
J. Harper * 35 5-11 4-7 6-6 3 7 2 0 1 20 20 -
S. Doughty * 34 3-6 2-3 0-0 10 6 4 0 1 8 21 -
B. Brown * 34 10-18 6-13 8-9 1 1 0 0 1 34 17 -
A. McLemore * 18 3-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 6 3 -
A. Wiley 20 4-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 5 4 8 9 -
H. Spencer 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. McCormick 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Dunbar 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter