Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 29 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 43 | 9-17 | 3-9 | 4-6 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 42 | 8-18 | 5-13 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Samir Doughty * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Austin Wiley | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J'Von McCormick | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keonte Kennedy | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Goodin * | 43 | 3-19 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | -2 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 41 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Paul Scruggs * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Castlin * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyrique Jones * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Welage | 23 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Zach Hankins | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Elias Harden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter