Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +43 (101-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| H. McGee * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Sikes * | 29 | 8-18 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 10 | - |
| R.J. Kelly * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Ajayi * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Andrews | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Morris | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Pettway | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Dial | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 30 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 23 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 30 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 27 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Samir Doughty * | 19 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J'Von McCormick | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Myles Parker | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Thomas Collier | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Blackstock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Maasdorp | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Preston Cook | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Macoy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devontae Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter