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2019-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (25.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Log Adjusted 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +27 (80-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Okeke 30 6-13 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 14 4 -
M. Dunbar 20 0-6 0-5 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Brown * 33 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
J. Harper * 32 3-11 2-5 4-6 1 0 1 0 3 12 0 -
A. McLemore * 23 4-9 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
M. Dunbar * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
S. Doughty 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 -
D. Purifoy 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
H. Spencer 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
J. McCormick 9 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
A. Wiley 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
PJ Washington * 33 9-13 5-8 1-2 6 2 1 1 2 24 19 -
A. Hagans * 30 6-8 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 14 10 -
T. Herro * 29 6-12 3-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 17 11 -
K. Johnson * 29 3-8 0-2 2-4 17 5 0 0 2 8 20 -
EJ Montgomery * 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 3 1 6 13 -
I. Quickley 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
N. Richards 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 3 0 4 9 -
J. Baker 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. David 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter