Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -2 (80-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Hagans * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| PJ Washington * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Reid Travis * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Keldon Johnson * | 28 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| EJ Montgomery | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nick Richards | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Baker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 32 | 8-9 | 6-7 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Samir Doughty * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Danjel Purifoy | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J'Von McCormick | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter