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2019-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Log Adjusted 71.4% 28.6% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -2 (80-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hagans * 35 2-4 0-0 2-3 7 6 3 0 3 6 15 -
T. Herro * 34 6-12 3-6 5-5 3 4 1 0 3 20 13 -
PJ Washington * 32 4-8 1-2 4-7 7 2 0 1 3 13 12 -
R. Travis * 29 6-7 0-0 5-5 7 0 0 1 1 17 17 -
K. Johnson * 28 7-11 2-5 4-7 3 0 0 0 1 20 11 -
I. Quickley 14 1-3 0-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
EJ Montgomery 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Richards 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 4 -
J. Baker 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Okeke 32 5-11 1-5 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 11 10 -
M. Dunbar 22 4-7 2-4 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 10 11 -
J. Harper * 34 5-13 2-6 5-7 0 6 1 0 3 17 8 -
B. Brown * 32 8-9 6-7 6-6 0 3 1 0 3 28 20 -
S. Doughty * 24 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. McLemore * 17 0-3 0-2 2-4 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
H. Spencer 23 2-3 0-0 0-1 8 2 1 2 4 4 10 -
M. Dunbar 22 4-7 2-4 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 10 11 -
D. Purifoy 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
J. McCormick 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter