Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida Gators -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 43 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 40 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Naz Reid * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kavell Bigby-Williams * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marlon Taylor * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tremont Waters | 35 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Emmitt Williams | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Darius Days | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marshall Graves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KeVaughn Allen * | 40 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Hudson * | 39 | 11-20 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 15 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Kevarrius Hayes * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Noah Locke | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dontay Bassett | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Stokes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Okauru | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Deaundrae Ballard | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter