Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 42 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Noah Locke * | 36 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| KeVaughn Allen * | 36 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Kevarrius Hayes * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Hudson | 27 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Deaundrae Ballard | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dontay Bassett | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Stokes | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mike Okauru | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 40 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Naz Reid * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Tremont Waters * | 35 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Kavell Bigby-Williams * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Marlon Taylor * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 32 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Emmitt Williams | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darius Days | 11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter