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Florida Gators 82
@
LSU Tigers 77
2019-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - ✗
Margin 59.1% 40.9% -2.0 ✓ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - ✗
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.2% 43.8% - ✓

Actual: LSU Tigers -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Nembhard * 42 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 8 3 0 2 8 11 -
N. Locke * 36 5-13 3-9 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 15 7 -
K. Allen * 36 6-12 5-9 4-5 2 0 1 0 2 21 10 -
K. Hayes * 27 4-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 2 0 10 17 -
K. Johnson * 24 3-5 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 0 3 7 7 -
J. Hudson 27 6-13 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 15 6 -
D. Ballard 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
D. Bassett 12 0-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
I. Stokes 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
M. Okauru 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Mays * 40 6-12 2-6 4-4 3 0 2 0 0 18 11 -
N. Reid * 35 5-12 1-1 5-6 15 0 0 0 5 16 14 -
T. Waters * 35 3-12 2-8 2-4 0 4 1 0 3 10 0 -
K. Bigby-Williams * 30 3-5 0-0 4-6 6 2 0 3 0 10 16 -
M. Taylor * 28 4-7 2-3 0-3 5 1 1 0 2 10 8 -
J. Smart 32 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 4 -1 -
E. Williams 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Days 11 4-5 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 8 -

* = starter