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2019-02-12

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -
Log Adjusted 5.6% 94.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Waters * 38 3-13 1-5 8-8 1 5 3 0 2 15 9 -
S. Mays * 31 3-13 1-6 4-5 2 1 2 0 1 11 2 -
K. Bigby-Williams * 31 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 0 5 10 -
M. Taylor * 23 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
N. Reid * 21 5-10 2-4 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 12 10 -
J. Smart 28 2-7 0-2 4-4 4 5 0 0 0 8 10 -
E. Williams 19 5-5 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 2 2 12 13 -
D. Days 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Herro * 39 5-13 2-5 0-0 1 4 1 1 1 12 5 -
R. Travis * 37 3-7 1-3 2-2 9 1 0 0 2 9 10 -
K. Johnson * 36 5-10 1-2 5-9 5 3 1 0 0 16 15 -
PJ Washington * 27 7-13 0-2 6-8 9 3 1 0 3 20 17 -
A. Hagans * 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
I. Quickley 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
EJ Montgomery 13 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
N. Richards 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Baker 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter