Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hunter * | 40 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Rafferty * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Lyons * | 35 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
| A. Brown * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Mounce * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Gurley | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | - |
| T. Clark | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 36 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Marlon Taylor * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kavell Bigby-Williams * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Naz Reid * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Javonte Smart * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Tremont Waters | 35 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Emmitt Williams | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Darius Days | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter