Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Smart * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tremont Waters * | 28 | 3-13 | 1-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Naz Reid * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 5-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Darius Days * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Emmitt Williams | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Marlon Taylor | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Daryl Edwards | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kavell Bigby-Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Robinson Jr. * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Armoni Brooks * | 34 | 5-16 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| C. Alley Jr. * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Davis Jr. * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Breaon Brady * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nate Hinton | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Brison Gresham | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - |
| F. White Jr. | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Chris Harris | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dejon Jarreau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter