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2018-12-12

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% -
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 24.2% 75.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.1% 82.9% -
Log Adjusted 16.9% 83.1% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smart * 36 6-14 1-3 5-5 2 0 2 0 3 18 5 -
S. Mays * 32 2-9 2-6 1-2 5 2 1 0 2 7 4 -
T. Waters * 28 3-13 1-9 3-4 2 2 3 0 5 10 -1 -
N. Reid * 20 4-8 0-3 5-9 4 1 1 0 3 13 8 -
D. Days * 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
E. Williams 23 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 0 4 9 -
M. Taylor 23 1-2 0-1 9-11 5 1 2 1 1 11 17 -
D. Edwards 17 1-2 0-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
K. Bigby-Williams 6 0-0 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 2 0 4 8 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Robinson Jr. * 38 7-15 0-0 4-6 5 6 2 0 2 18 14 -
A. Brooks * 34 5-16 3-11 0-2 9 0 1 0 3 13 4 -
C. Alley Jr. * 29 1-5 1-5 10-12 4 0 3 1 1 13 15 -
C. Davis Jr. * 23 2-4 0-1 4-4 2 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
B. Brady * 12 2-4 0-0 4-5 3 0 0 1 0 8 8 -
N. Hinton 28 3-9 0-3 1-2 8 3 1 0 1 7 9 -
B. Gresham 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 2 1 9 -
F. White Jr. 12 4-6 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 1 1 10 7 -
C. Harris Jr. 8 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
D. Jarreau 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -

* = starter