Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Hagans * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Reid Travis * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Keldon Johnson * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| PJ Washington * | 24 | 9-13 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| EJ Montgomery | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Baker | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nick Richards | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 34 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Robert Woodard | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Aric Holman | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter