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2019-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 56.0% 44.0% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 80.8% 19.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% -
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hagans * 35 2-5 1-3 3-5 4 9 1 0 3 8 14 -
R. Travis * 33 4-9 0-1 0-0 8 1 1 2 1 8 10 -
T. Herro * 33 5-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 12 5 -
K. Johnson * 28 4-10 1-3 4-4 7 0 1 0 1 13 10 -
PJ Washington * 24 9-13 3-3 2-4 3 1 0 1 1 23 14 -
EJ Montgomery 16 1-3 0-1 0-2 7 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
I. Quickley 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Baker 12 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
N. Richards 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Weatherspoon * 35 4-12 3-6 3-4 4 1 3 0 3 14 7 -
L. Peters * 34 6-13 4-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 16 8 -
A. Ado * 26 1-2 0-0 4-5 4 0 0 2 1 6 9 -
N. Weatherspoon * 26 4-8 0-0 1-2 2 3 0 1 1 9 6 -
R. Perry * 23 1-3 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 4 8 -
R. Woodard 24 3-6 0-1 3-4 5 1 1 2 0 9 12 -
T. Carter 20 3-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
A. Holman 12 1-3 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter