Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 (88-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tremont Waters * | 38 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Naz Reid * | 35 | 10-17 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Kavell Bigby-Williams * | 31 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Marlon Taylor * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Emmitt Williams | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Darius Days | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 44 | 11-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 9-16 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aric Holman | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 18 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Robert Woodard | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| KeyShawn Feazell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter