Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Samir Doughty * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J'Von McCormick | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Danjel Purifoy | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 37 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 11-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 32 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Aric Holman * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Perry | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Robert Woodard | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter