Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| KeVaughn Allen * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Noah Locke * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kevarrius Hayes * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Hudson * | 10 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson | 25 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Dontay Bassett | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Keith Stone | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Deaundrae Ballard | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mike Okauru | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 31 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Robert Woodard * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Aric Holman | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Perry | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 17 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
* = starter