Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Hinson * | 38 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Devontae Shuler * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Breein Tyree * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Terence Davis * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Dominik Olejniczak * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Stevens | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D.C. Davis | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| KJ Buffen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Naylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Peters * | 33 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Aric Holman * | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Perry | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Robert Woodard | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter