Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarron Cumberland * | 37 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Keith Williams * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Justin Jenifer * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tre Scott * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nysier Brooks * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Rashawn Fredericks | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Eliel Nsoseme | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Cane Broome | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Moore | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Logan Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 30 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Aric Holman * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Perry | 27 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Robert Woodard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| KeyShawn Feazell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter