Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Weatherspoon * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 17 | - |
| L. Peters * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Ado * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Weatherspoon * | 30 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Holman * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Carter | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Perry | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Woodard II | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Feazell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Policelli | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crutcher * | 39 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Davis * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Mikesell * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Landers * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| O. Toppin * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Cunningham | 25 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Cohill | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
* = starter