Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +20.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Carroll * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jason Dunne * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 24 | - |
| J.R. Lynch * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| George Blagojevic * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Travis Weatherington * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Davis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 33 | - |
| Aric Holman * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Reggie Perry | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Robert Woodard | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| KeyShawn Feazell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter