🐻⬇️🏀

LSU Tigers 86
@
Missouri Tigers 80
2019-01-26

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% - ✓
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 ✗ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 67.4% 32.6% - ✓
Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 78.2% 21.8% - ✓

Actual: Missouri Tigers -6 (80-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Mays * 39 6-12 2-6 10-12 2 1 1 0 0 24 16 -
T. Waters * 36 4-17 2-9 3-4 3 9 3 0 2 13 9 -
M. Taylor * 35 3-6 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 0 2 7 7 -
N. Reid * 28 2-12 1-4 9-9 8 0 1 0 3 14 8 -
K. Bigby-Williams * 20 2-3 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 2 2 7 9 -
J. Smart 33 4-11 4-9 2-2 6 3 4 0 2 14 14 -
E. Williams 26 3-5 0-1 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
D. Days 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 0 3 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Geist * 40 7-14 3-7 8-10 11 2 2 0 4 25 22 -
J. Pickett * 36 5-12 1-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 13 6 -
J. Tilmon Jr. * 35 5-8 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 0 1 15 12 -
K. Puryear * 25 1-7 0-2 0-1 7 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
T. Watson * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Suggs 29 1-6 1-5 6-9 4 1 0 0 2 9 6 -
K.J. Santos 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
X. Pinson 14 2-4 1-2 3-3 3 0 2 0 3 8 6 -
R. Nikko 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 1 4 8 -
Mi. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter