Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Joe * | 34 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Harris * | 30 | 0-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| D. Sills * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D. Gafford * | 23 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| G. Osabuohien * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Jones | 25 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Chaney | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Bailey | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Embery-Simpson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Hagans * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Herro * | 36 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 28 | - |
| PJ Washington * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| EJ Montgomery * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Richards | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | - |
| I. Quickley | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Baker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter