Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -1 (89-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Joe * | 34 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 32 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Mason Jones * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Harris * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Adrio Bailey * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Keyshawn Embery-Simpson | 22 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Gabe Osabuohien | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Desi Sills | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Tremont Waters * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Naz Reid * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Marlon Taylor * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kavell Bigby-Williams * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 31 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Emmitt Williams | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Darius Days | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter