Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shorts II * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 7 | - |
| G. Goode * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Schneider * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A.J. John * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Mooney * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Gonzalez | 27 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Neufeld | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Russell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Printup | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 31 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| D. Gafford * | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Harris * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Joe * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Bailey * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| K. Embery-Simpson | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Sills | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| G. Osabuohien | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Chaney | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| E. Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter