Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donta Hall * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Kira Lewis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tevin Mack * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| John Petty | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Galin Smith | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alex Reese | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Riley Norris | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Pickett * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Geist * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Mark Smith * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Puryear * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Torrence Watson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K.J. Santos | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Pinson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Reed Nikko | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mitchell Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Suggs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter