Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (29.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -35 (52-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Hagans * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| PJ Washington * | 29 | 9-15 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Tyler Herro * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Keldon Johnson * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Reid Travis * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Baker | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nick Richards | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| EJ Montgomery | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jonny David | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 38 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Saben Lee * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Simisola Shittu * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Matt Ryan * | 27 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Yanni Wetzell * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Joe Toye | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Clevon Brown | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matthew Moyer | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Maxwell Evans | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter