Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -16 (55-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Aric Holman * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 26 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Perry | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Robert Woodard | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| KeyShawn Feazell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saben Lee * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Joe Toye * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Matt Ryan * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matthew Moyer | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Clevon Brown | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maxwell Evans | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter