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2018-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.9% 40.1% -
Margin 76.1% 23.9% -6.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% -
Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -13 (58-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Herro * 36 10-13 4-6 0-0 5 1 2 1 2 24 18 -
P.J. Washington * 33 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 3 1 4 1 5 17 -
K. Johnson * 33 5-13 1-5 4-4 7 2 1 0 2 15 10 -
R. Travis * 30 4-8 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 2 0 9 7 -
A. Hagans * 24 5-11 0-1 1-2 2 3 3 0 1 11 7 -
I. Quickley 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 2 2 -
E. Montgomery 9 1-2 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Baker 9 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
N. Richards 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nwora * 38 7-17 1-5 2-3 7 0 3 0 1 17 9 -
C. Cunningham * 35 8-14 3-5 1-2 2 4 1 0 2 20 11 -
S. Enoch * 27 2-6 0-1 1-2 9 0 0 1 1 5 8 -
D. Sutton * 26 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Perry * 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 5 -3 -
R. McMahon 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Williams 13 0-2 0-1 2-4 6 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
V.J. King 13 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Fore 13 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 1 0 3 3 -

* = starter