Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Williams * | 37 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 32 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Coby White * | 30 | 3-14 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Nassir Little | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sutton * | 38 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Nwora * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Fore * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. McMahon | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| D. Perry | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Enoch | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| V.J. King | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter