Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✗ (30.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -21 (62-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sutton * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 34 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Nwora * | 24 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| K. Fore * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Williams * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Enoch | 27 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. Perry | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. McMahon | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| V.J. King | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Battaile | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Redding | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Griffin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maye * | 36 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Coby White * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nassir Little | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Leaky Black | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Ellis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walker Miller | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter