Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (89-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerwin Roach * | 34 | 12-15 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 31 | - |
| Dylan Osetkowski * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Matt Coleman * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jase Febres * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Elijah Mitrou-Long | 18 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Courtney Ramey | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kamaka Hepa | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maye * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Coby White * | 30 | 10-17 | 7-10 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nassir Little | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Leaky Black | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter