Model Predictions
| Model | Stanford Cardinal | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +18 (90-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Okpala | 32 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Ryan * | 34 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Davis * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| O. da Silva * | 21 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Sharma * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Wills | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Sheffield II | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Delaire | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| L. Kisunas | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Stanback | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. White | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Herenton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maye * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 24 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Coby White * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nassir Little | 24 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Leaky Black | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Walker Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Ellis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter