Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maye * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Coby White * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 23 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Nassir Little | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Leaky Black | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Bryce * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 25 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Daniels * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| W. Walker * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Beverly | 34 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Hellems | 15 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Harris | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter