Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +9 (84-75). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Varnado * | 38 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 12-13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Javan Johnson * | 36 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Miller * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Darian Adams * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alex Hicks * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Malik Burnett | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zay Williams | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Charles Norman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| KJ Simon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Johnson * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Malik Ellison * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Trey McGowens * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Au'Diese Toney * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kene Chukwuka * | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jared Wilson-Frame | 30 | 9-15 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Terrell Brown | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kham Davis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Peace Ilegomah | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sidy N'Dir | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter