Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +24 (73-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Au'Diese Toney * | 34 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jared Wilson-Frame * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Xavier Johnson * | 29 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Trey McGowens * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Terrell Brown * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Sidy Ndir | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kene Chukwuka | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Malik Ellison | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Starzynski | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Onyebuchi Ezeakudo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hunter * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Clark * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 25 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Guy * | 25 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Salt * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Key | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Diakite | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Huff | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M. Anthony | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Nixon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Kersey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Katstra | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter