Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prentiss Hubb | 40 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Gibbs | 38 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| John Mooney | 31 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Harvey | 30 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nate Laszewski | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dane Goodwin | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Durham | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 40 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 38 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| K. Clark * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Salt * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Diakite | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Key | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Huff | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter