Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -27 (55-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Guy * | 31 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Hunter * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Ty Jerome * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| M. Diakite * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Salt * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Clark | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Key | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Huff | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Anthony | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Badocchi | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Nixon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Kersey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prentiss Hubb | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Gibbs | 33 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| John Mooney | 33 | 6-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Harvey | 24 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Doherty | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dane Goodwin * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nate Laszewski * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter