Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terance Mann * | 36 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Phil Cofer * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Trent Forrest * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M.J. Walker * | 18 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Christ Koumadje * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| David Nichols | 22 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Mfiondu Kabengele | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Devin Vassell | 14 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Raiquan Gray | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| PJ Savoy | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Anthony Polite | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Wyatt Wilkes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Harrison Prieto | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Williams * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Coby White * | 27 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nassir Little | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Caleb Ellis | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walker Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter